Friday, May 6, 2011

前中国高官张炜、苏晓康谈中国变革的可能/视频

纪念胡耀邦赵紫阳研讨会(暋辛亥革命百年)4月30日在费城举行,来自英国剑桥大学的张炜、美国的苏晓康针对吴国光“民变引发官变”做了以下评论。
张炜是1989年六四事件中公开支持学生的中国最高官员。当时作为天津开发区主任的张炜,可能是最年轻有为的官员。会议现场有人说,如果不是六四,张炜应该是比李克强他们更有优势接班的。张炜说,他为近期的北非的茉莉花流泪,想到六四的情景,当时在广场上什么都没说,就是流泪。

张炜认为中国变革难度大,有以下几个理由:中共对民众的控制,精细到五一附加的地步。例如北非,腐化局限于最上层,但中国把腐化变成一种制度,从上到下人人有份。
经济增长不能为这样的威权政府带来绝对的合法性,但加上收买和强权,是可以苟延残喘的。
海外回去的“精英”对腐败政权维护最得力,用西方左派的理论,拿去在国际上进行辩驳。张炜说,西方左派还是有良心的,海归回去的这些精英没有良心。(张炜后面还有专门发言)

苏晓康上世纪八十年代著名电视片《河殇》的主笔之一,《河殇》在六四后被批判是引发学潮的文化因素之一。苏晓康来美国后曾是《民主中国》主编。苏晓康认为,薄熙来现象显示中国高层裂变已经开始。中国最大的政治就是平稳交接,最近的大镇压就是为了平稳交接。
原世界日报编辑孟玄也做了评论,但没有录制。


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